■GⅠ・Tenno Sho (Autumn) (27th, Tokyo Racecourse, Turf 2000m)
TBS announcer Rina Shinohara, who graduated from the Faculty of Law at the University of Tokyo, accurately predicts the Autumn Emperor’s Sho, the highest honor for older horses, based on data. While all eyes are on Triple Crown filly Liberty Island and Ravenstiel, ridden by jockey Lemaire, who is on a winning streak at the Emperor’s Sho (autumn), Anna Shinohara has predicted the favorite horse.
[Run list]
1st frame No. 1 Bellagio Opera (male 4/Ritto) Kazuo Yokoyama
2nd frame No. 2 Matenrou Sky (Sen 5/Ritto) Norihiro Yokoyama
2nd frame No. 3 Stella Veloce (male 6/Ritto) Daisuke Sasaki
3rd frame No. 4 Tastiera (male 4/Miho) Kohei Matsuyama
3rd frame No. 5 North Bridge (male 6/Miho) Yasumasa Iwata
4th frame No. 6 Sole Oriens (male 4/Miura) Takeshi Yokoyama
4th frame No. 7 Dodus (male 5/Ritto) Taketoyo
5th frame No. 8 King’s Palace (male 5/Miura) A. Starke
5th frame No. 9 Ho-oh Biscuits (male 4/Miho) Nozomi Iwata
6th frame No. 10 Danon Beluga (male 5/Miho) C. Demuro
6th frame No. 11 Justin Palace (male 5/Ritto) Ruse Sakai
7th frame 12th Liberty Island (Female 4/Ritto) Masamasa Kawada
7th frame No. 13 Schilthorn (male 4/Miura) Takuya Ohno
8 frames No. 14 Ravenstiel (male 4/Miura) C. Lemaire
8th frame No. 15 Nishino Revenant (Sen 4/Miura) Hironobu Tanabe
Announcer Shinohara:
We have announced that the favorite for the Emperor’s Prize (Autumn) is “Liberty Island,” but we will also reveal our predictions for the other five winners.
◎ Favorite: 7th slot No. 12 Liberty Island (Female 4/Ritto) Masamasa Kawada
Announcer Shinohara:
First of all, it’s about Liberty Island.I think Liberty Island really shines this time around. Horses that have finished in the top two at the Japan Cup have won the Tenno Sho (Autumn) four times in the past 10 years. And although there have only been 16 fillies in the past 10 years, they have finished in the top 3 six times, which means they have a high rate of success. And speaking of Almond Eye, the triple-winning filly, Almond Eye won consecutive races in 2019 and 2020. This is still fresh in my memory.
≪Data≫
In the Tenno Sho (autumn) over the past 10 years, the number one favorite has won seven times.
Liberty Island won the Filly Triple Crown last year, but the record of horses that have won the Filly Triple Crown in the past at the Emperor’s Sho (Autumn) is 2 wins and 2 places, 100% consecutively.
○ Opponent: 4th frame No. 7 Dodeuce (male 5/Ritto) Taketoyo
Announcer Shinohara:
And the opposing No. 7 Dou Deuce, a G1 3 winner. Horses from the previous Takarazuka Kinen race have won the Tenno Sho (autumn) twice in the past 10 years. In addition to the fact that horses with experience of running well and finishing 1st or 2nd in the Derby have won four times in the past 10 years, there is also data showing that 4 racehorses have won 4 times in the past 10 years.
▲ Single hole: 6th frame No. 11 Justin Palace (male 5/Ritto) Ruse Sakai
Announcer Shinohara:
And ▲ Justin Palace. Last year, you came in 2nd place at the Emperor’s Sho (Autumn). The winner at that time was Equinox and it was a course record. It is also a repeater slot.
△ Consecutive: 5th frame No. 9 Ho-oh Biscuits (4 males/Miho) Nozomi Iwata
Announcer Shinohara:
And △ Ho-Oh Biscuits finished 2nd in the Tokyo turf 1800m in his previous race and GII Mainichi Crown, so I think the Tokyo turf is suitable.
☆ Hole: 6 frame No. 10 Danon Beluga (male 5/Miura) C. Demuro
Announcer Shinohara:
And ☆ No. 10 Danon Beluga. This is also a repeater frame. Repeater slots are cases in which horses that finished in the top 3 in the previous year over the past 10 years have run again, and 5 out of 11 horses have finished in the top 3, so I think they will be included in the betting ticket. Masu.
Announcer Shinohara:
How can I get the odds of buying these 5 horses? I think I’ll buy three in a row.
*These are personal predictions only.
Source: Japanese